Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.001025 0.001170 0.001316 0.001474 0.001640 0.001807 0.001990
2025-08-24 0.000750 0.000951 0.001162 0.001397 0.001651 0.001914 0.002205
2025-08-31 0.000580 0.000822 0.001085 0.001387 0.001721 0.002072 0.002468
2025-09-07 0.000462 0.000735 0.001044 0.001408 0.001816 0.002254 0.002752
2025-09-14 0.000336 0.000622 0.000961 0.001373 0.001845 0.002358 0.002948
2025-09-21 0.000264 0.000564 0.000937 0.001400 0.001938 0.002529 0.003215
2025-09-28 0.000220 0.000538 0.000946 0.001462 0.002070 0.002741 0.003525
2025-10-05 0.000159 0.000477 0.000907 0.001463 0.002127 0.002868 0.003737
2025-10-12 0.000118 0.000438 0.000890 0.001488 0.002209 0.003020 0.003977
2025-10-19 0.000072 0.000377 0.000840 0.001468 0.002237 0.003108 0.004143
2025-10-26 0.000040 0.000330 0.000804 0.001463 0.002279 0.003211 0.004323
2025-11-02 0.000011 0.000266 0.000737 0.001414 0.002265 0.003247 0.004426
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000202 0.000675 0.001386 0.002300 0.003364 0.004650
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000125 0.000577 0.001306 0.002267 0.003403 0.004787
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000084 0.000531 0.001292 0.002316 0.003538 0.005037
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000060 0.000508 0.001309 0.002403 0.003719 0.005338
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000028 0.000453 0.001275 0.002422 0.003815 0.005542
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000016 0.000438 0.001299 0.002516 0.004003 0.005851
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000011 0.000447 0.001359 0.002656 0.004245 0.006223
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000002 0.000420 0.001360 0.002717 0.004389 0.006479
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.000408 0.001383 0.002806 0.004568 0.006775
2026-01-11 NaN NaN 0.000372 0.001364 0.002837 0.004674 0.006984
2026-01-18 NaN NaN 0.000346 0.001359 0.002886 0.004800 0.007215